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Weekly Debate: Is The Fed Going To Hike Rates This Week?

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Weekly_Debate:_Is_The_Fed_Going_To_Hike_This_Week?_Voting_%_TMMChart.png

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Editor’s remarks:
Today will see two major banks make decisions: first the Bank of Japan and then the US Federal Reserve. The Bank of Japan earlier today decided not to change its -0.1% interest rate but declared a shift to its policy, from asset buying to controlling interest rates. The world is now anticipating the Fed’s decision later today. The majority of experts, including The Market Mogul readers, believe that rates will be held but still markets have not moved much this week just in case. Most likely, stocks will jump after the Fed decides to hold rates steady, which might shed some clarity over what the BOJ will do over the coming months. However, Yellen and her committee might take a slightly longer term vision and change all of that.

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  1. Vincenzo Spiniello

    September 21, 2016 at 2:34 PM

    Most likely the FED is going to hold fire. Many of the board members are remarking the need for patience, in order to avoid disruptions. This is demonstrated by the words of different Governors, among which Williams, Rosengren and Brainard. Potential for lower rates for (even) longer is demonstrated by the natural interest rate which has been lowered over the past months, i.e. the long term equilibrium rate, once policy has been normalized, to keep inflation at its target (around 2%, so allowing growth and avoiding, at the same time, the overheating of the economy). Therefore, also a lower “dot plot” has to be expected, including lower forecasts for the next years.

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