Donald Trump came ahead of Hillary Clinton for the first time in the polls, with a 2 points lead, on the day of Clinton’s official nomination as the Democratic presidential candidate.
Editor’s Remarks: The opinion polls in the US have been wildly different in their results over the last weeks and, if Brexit provides any instruction, one should know that the polls can be unreliable. Still, Trump’s populist speech is gaining continuous traction, although he has lost some backers and is the constant target of media scrutiny. At the same time, Hillary Clinton has a serious problem in connecting with her audience: while she might have the Democratic intellectuals and the elite in the bag, she has not managed to become the candidate for the middle and working class voter. The Obamas might have had a lock the minorities vote, but Clinton still has to find a way to bring in more votes or lose.
What to watch: US elections, Hillary Clinton’s relations with big business, the Democratic Convention