May 9, 2017

Macron Wins, But…

   May 9, 2017

Macron Wins, But…

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Editor’s Remarks:
Looking at the difference between the number of votes received by the two candidates in France’s presidential race, Emmanuel Macron clearly came out well on top of Marine Le Pen – but this is only part of the story. Of the 48 million registered voters in France, only 44% picked Macron to Le Pen’s 22%. Turnout is never 100%, of course, but this election saw one of the lowest rates since the 90s, with 12.1 million not voting. A more deafening silence came from the 4.1 million who posted a blank or spoiled ballot. Who are these 16 million disaffected? About a third of people who voted for Francois Fillion or Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the first round abstained or submitted a void ballot in the second, making up the lion’s share of those who did so, too. Only about half of the other Fillon/Mélenchon voters went for Macron in the second round, with the rest going for Le Pen. What’s more, there are few signs yet that the first-round Fillon/Mélenchon/Hamon voters who together made up about half of second-round Macron voters will decisively support his En Marche! party going into the legislative elections next month, with polls putting the party only a few percentage points ahead going into the first round. If France could be called united, it is more united against Le Pen than for Macron.

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