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Global Economy Spotlight
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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: Public opinion of Donald Trump has hit a new low, with just 37% of Americans surveyed approving of the job he’s doing as President. Past presidents have seen worse, though never this soon into their term: Bill Clinton, for example, had sunk to 37% by June, whereas Trump’s rating is the worst of any president in recorded history at this point into their first term. Though President Trump was creeping back to a neutral opinion in the public, the last couple of weeks has seen a major double blow. On the one hand, his bill to replace Obamacare has become mi

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: US healthcare is set for another dramatic overhaul just a few years since Obama’s flagship Affordable Care Act was brought in, as the Republicans (GOP) push through legislation overhauling it. Now, the Congressional Budget Office have released a wide-ranging analysis of the proposal and its projected impact. No sooner did the report come out did both ends of the American political spectrum start putting their own spin on the data, making it difficult to weigh up exactly what the numbers say. For example, it has been widely warned by opponents of the plan

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: The Market Mogul readers overwhelmingly believe that UK Prime Minister Theresa May should guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens currently residing in the UK. However, a significant percentage believe this will not happen. Firstly, a number of EU nations are not willing to guarantee the same for UK citizens residing in the EU until they are assured of the same for citizens in the UK. This leads to a very dangerous game of chicken. Secondly, it appears this decision could be a bargaining chip used to determine the exact pay-out the UK will make to the EU ov

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: Cyber attacks of various kinds have been splattered across front pages for several months now, with the latest leaks of US cyberattacks on North Korea’s nuclear programmes flipping the dynamic after allegations of Russian hacks during the US elections dominated recent news. DDoS (distributed denial of service) attacks in particular, though, haven’t matched public perception in terms of numbers growth: the total of 751,895 attacks worldwide in the last three months of 2016 marks only a 4% increase on the same period a year prior. But the country of origi

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: Venezuela has just $10.6bn left in foreign exchange reserves, according to the latest data from its central bank. Though this amount of hard currency is by no means abysmal compared to many countries - it now ranks about 70th out of the 188 countries with reliable data, just below Serbia - it could very soon becoming crippling for the South American republic given that it owes about $7.2bn in outstanding debt payments for the rest of this year. Furthermore, many economies get by with small but stable levels of foreign reserves, but Venezuela’s plunging le

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: Wall Street stocks have raced to yet another record as comments from the top of the Federal Reserve sent traders into a frenzy over growing expectations that US interest rates could go up as soon as this month, with the Dow Jones hitting 21,000. Whilst Fed chair Janet Yellen’s last major speech hinted at interest rates staying low until later in the year, strong US economic performance has prompted her colleagues to see the upcoming March meeting as a turning point in Trump era monetary policy. After influential New York Fed President William Dudley’s c

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: With a Tweet, President Trump recently declared, "the United States must greatly strengthen and expand its nuclear capability". He separately expressed his desire to see the US at the "top of the pack" in nuclear weapons. Trump is right on the numbers - the US is currently second to Russia, which possesses approximately 7000 nuclear warheads, down from some 40,000 in 1985. The US's own arsenal numbers 6800 warheads, down from a peak of approximately 27,500 in 1975. But Trump's comments take no account of the quality and sophistication of those warheads, an

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: During his presidential campaign, Trump flew the flag for his proposed US-Mexico border wall with a $12.0bn price tag. Now that the plan nears implementation, though, the American taxpayer has been offered a few quotes from a few slightly more ‘independent’ sources. If the US Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) figure were to be the true total, the 1250 miles of barriers Trump hopes to add to the already-fortified 650 miles of border would cost each American household around $170bn. House Speaker Paul Ryan and Senate Majority Leader McConnell were

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: Though President Trump’s vocal criticism of the security alliance has been rebuffed by the US military establishment in terms of strategy - new Defense Secretary Jim ‘Mad Dog’ Mattis’, for example, has reaffirmed it as a “fundamental bedrock” to the transatlantic community - it seems to have rubbed off on his allies in financial terms. Countries such as Germany have been criticised for underspending despite running long budget surpluses, but NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has reaffirmed a commitment to pushing members towards a spending

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Share this chart Editor's Remarks: New figures show that the Greek economy unexpectedly contracted in the fourth quarter of last year. Coming in at 0.8% lower than Bloomberg forecasts, the hard turn from +0.9% the previous quarter to -0.4% in the last three months of 2016 puts hot coals under Alexis Tsipras’ government as it tries to reach a deal with international lenders on fiscal reforms. The Greek Central Bank’s governor recently warned that the country risks another recession and deeper austerity if it fails to strike a deal with European creditors which would allow it to access fur

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