February 21, 2017

France’s Presidential Race: First Round Intentions

   February 21, 2017

France’s Presidential Race: First Round Intentions

Share this chart

Editor’s Remarks:
The race for the French Presidency has narrowed according to the latest polls which put Front National (FN) leader Marine Le Pen in a strengthened position going into the first round of voting. If right-wing Le Pen makes it through to the run-off, as part of France’s two-staged presidential electoral system, she would likely be decisively defeated by either centre-left independent Emmanuel Macron conservative François Fillon, according to polls which have them 16% and 12% clear respectively in that scenario. However, her increase from a 27% deficit against Macron in such a scenario in last week’s polls suggests she is gaining momentum – which could well pick up given how her campaign is only now starting to ramp up after weeks of staying in the sidelines, as Fillon’s campaign was consumed by the ‘fake work’ scandal and Macron dealt with rumours of an affair with a media mogul. On the other hand, if a reported police search of FN headquarters last night over an investigation into allegations of her own party having ‘fake jobs’ produces anything indicting, her chances could be killed off sooner than the run-off.

Get articles like this straight to your inbox each morning with our Breakfast Briefing. Sign up by clicking here!

Log in with your details

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account

Send this to friend